As of right now, the 538 forecast gives Biden a 72-out of-100 chance of winning the election. Nate Silver has explained that he expected those numbers to be higher, but that he built a higher level of unpredictability into the model because of everything that is happening with COVID-19. In times of crisis, people tend to stick with “the devil they know”, hence the lower Vote Biden Harris Donut for the Nation T-Shirt expected odds for Biden. That’s about the chance Hillary had…. I’ll say it again- if you don’t have some SUPER COMPELLING REASON to not want to vote in person you need to put on a mask and whatever else you feel comfortable wearing and go vote. If Trump gets an election night lead due to democratic voters opting out of in-person voting then you are handing our democracy to the Supreme Court.
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Put on a mask, but a dam hazmat suit if needed. Remember, if you are under 50 and take precautions you risk is insanely LOW of having a bad outcome. Y’all need to start aggressively fighting against Trump fans and Qult followers inside their own safe spaces, instead of waiting for them to spew their garbage in neutral forums. A good place to start is the comments section and live chat feed of neo-fascists on YouTube like Tim Pool and Ben Shapiro. I know this advise will be pushed aside in favor of “easier” things that have less impact. Vote Biden Harris Donut for the Nation T-Shirt But I’d rather we troll the trolls than give them the false solace in their opinions, which leads them to organize to take bolder measures in places like Kalamazoo yesterday. Y’all need to start aggressively fighting against Trump fans and Qult followers inside their own safe spaces, instead of waiting for them to spew their garbage in neutral forums.
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I saw that earlier, but glad you’re spreading the word. We also had a guy run his car through protestors (didn’t hurt anyone) but then shot a guy while he was stopping him. The guy then ran up to the police and they quietly took him in and there’s a photo of him giving the thumbs up to them (granted, the thumb part is a little controversial since it’s a still shot). We’ve had a rash of people driving through protestors This pessimism is rather bizarre, but I haven’t put too much stake into it. I generally do too – except in politics where general wisdom of crowds doesn’t seem to lend itself to the same level of predictiveness as other markets, say sports. I think some people see 70% for Biden,Vote Biden Harris Donut for the Nation T-Shirt is the same chance Hillary had, and presume the model or models still have the same flaws, and therefore Trump is basically in the same spot. I think this is flawed thinking, but given we only get new data points every 4 years, it’s hard to find predictiveness at all.